Thursday, 24 September 2015

Successive And Progressive Future Histories

(i) Poul Anderson's first future history, the Psychotechnic History, was modeled directly on Robert Heinlein's Future History. Thus, a Time Chart listed near future conflicts followed by further future interstellar travel, then some stories were written to fit into the Chart.

(ii) His second future history, the History of Technic Civilization, grew organically but came to express a qualified cyclical theory of history. Thus, in any civilization, either a wrong decision leads to recognizable stages of decline followed by breakdown or the society remains in free growth. Technic Civilization broke down but hopefully the later and larger civilization represented by the Commonalty will remain in free growth.

(iii) In his last, Harvest of Stars, future history, technology advances to a level that seems to preclude any further decline or breakdown:

in the Solar System, a declining human population is entirely supported by self-evolving AI's;
in other systems, technology enables human colonists to -

- record their personalities as conscious AI's;
reincarnate the recorded personalities in newly grown organic bodies;
effortlessly produce any necessary artifacts without needing to distribute them through a market;
transform lifeless planets into habitable environments, each presided over by an AI nature deity based on a former human personality.

This sounds like:

abundantly overflowing social wealth that no longer needs to be hoarded, guarded or fought over;
ultimate free growth.

2 comments:

Sean M. Brooks said...

Kaor, Paul!

And I quoted the warning I found at the very end of "Starfog," probably by Sandra Miesel, that even the Commonalty might very well have "hidden flaws" which would eventually send it spinning downwards into the darkness--as had happened to the Empire and the League before it.

And there is one "commodity" which can't be so easily mass produced as might physical goods: POWER. I think human beings will compete for status and power in the future--as they do now.

Sean

Sean M. Brooks said...

Kaor, Paul!

And we see plenty of conflicts in the four HARVEST OF STARS books. With the conflict in the last book, THE FLEET OF STARS, being over how the Teramind, the AI dominating Earth, tried to prevent the men of Earth, both unmodified and Lunarian, from decisively leaving the Solar System to explore and settle other worlds. The Teramind tried to swaddle humanity within so much luxury that human restlessness would be smothered. The AI believed the true future lay with AIs reproducing and spreading across the universe like von Neuman machines. That organic being should be satisfied with a life of idle ease.

Sean