Monday, 6 March 2017
Plausible Or Implausible
(i) We know that there were many wars in the past! Poul Anderson's trilogy about Harald Hardrada has to be about warfare because that was the historical reality.
(ii) We expect there to be wars in the future if civilization collapses but humanity survives. Fictional examples include several works by Anderson and SM Stirling's Emberverse series.
(iii) What other future scenarios will involve wars? Much though I enjoy Anderson's Dominic Flandry series, I think that its premises are implausible:
faster than light interstellar travel;
many rational species, some of them practising interstellar imperialism.
This is the last few thousand years of Terrestrial history projected onto an interstellar, multispecies scale with interstellar distances conveniently negated by FTL. The only thing predictable about the future is that it will not be like the past. And aliens will be alien. The biggest problems are likely to be finding, recognizing and understanding extrasolar intelligences. A lot of sf could just be about that.